Dr David Bozward

Tag: labour market

  • Why Universities Are Measuring Employability Completely Wrong

    Employability has become one of the defining metrics of higher education. It sits at the centre of league tables, regulatory frameworks, and institutional strategy. Yet, despite the attention it receives, most universities are measuring it in ways that fundamentally misunderstand what employability actually is—and how it is created.

    This is not a minor technical issue. It is a structural flaw. And it is quietly shaping the behaviour of institutions, the design of curricula, and the experiences of students in ways that ultimately undermine the very outcomes universities claim to prioritise.

    The Problem: Measuring Outcomes, Ignoring Systems

    Most universities measure employability through a narrow set of outcome indicators:

    • Graduate employment rates (often within 6–15 months)
    • Salary levels
    • Progression into “highly skilled” roles
    • Further study rates

    These metrics are attractive because they are simple, comparable, and quantifiable. They allow regulators and rankings to create clean hierarchies. But they also create a dangerous illusion: that employability is an endpoint rather than a process.

    In reality, employability is not something that happens after graduation. It is something that is developed—often unevenly—over time.

    By focusing only on outcomes, universities overlook the underlying systems that produce those outcomes. This leads to three critical distortions:

    1. Short-termism – prioritising immediate employment over long-term career capability
    2. Attribution errors – assuming university input is the primary driver of outcomes
    3. Metric gaming – designing interventions to improve scores rather than substance

    The result is a measurement system that is precise, but not accurate.

    Employability Is Not Employment

    The first conceptual error is simple but profound: employability is not the same as employment.

    A graduate securing a job within six months tells us very little about their underlying capability. It tells us even less about their long-term trajectory.

    Employment outcomes are shaped by multiple external variables:

    • Local and national labour market conditions
    • Socio-economic background and networks
    • Prior work experience
    • Industry demand cycles
    • Geographic mobility

    A student with strong social capital and access to networks may secure employment quickly, even with relatively underdeveloped skills. Conversely, a highly capable student without those advantages may take longer to secure a role.

    If we measure employability purely through employment outcomes, we are effectively measuring advantage, not capability.

    This distinction matters. Because universities are not primarily responsible for labour markets—but they are responsible for capability development.

    The Missing Layer: Capability Development

    At its core, employability is about the development of capabilities that allow individuals to:

    • Enter the labour market
    • Navigate uncertainty
    • Create and capture value
    • Adapt over time

    These capabilities are multi-dimensional. They include:

    • Human capital (skills, knowledge, competencies)
    • Social capital (networks, relationships, signalling)
    • Cultural capital (confidence, norms, behaviours)
    • Experiential capital (practical application, real-world exposure)

    Most employability metrics fail to capture these dimensions in any meaningful way.

    Instead, they rely on proxy indicators—such as employment status—that sit several steps removed from the actual developmental process.

    This creates a measurement gap: universities are judged on outcomes they only partially control, while the capabilities they do influence remain largely invisible.

    The Pipeline Fallacy

    Universities often treat employability as a linear pipeline:

    Education → Graduation → Employment

    This model is intuitive—but wrong.

    In reality, employability is a complex, iterative process that begins long before university and continues long after graduation.

    Students do not enter university as blank slates. They bring with them:

    • Prior educational experiences
    • Family expectations
    • Networks and connections
    • Confidence (or lack of it)
    • Exposure to the world of work

    Similarly, graduation is not a fixed endpoint. Careers are no longer linear. They involve transitions, pivots, and periods of uncertainty.

    By imposing a linear model onto a non-linear reality, universities create systems that are poorly aligned with how careers actually develop.

    The Timing Problem: Measuring Too Late

    One of the most significant flaws in current employability metrics is timing.

    Most measurements occur after graduation—often 6 to 15 months later. By this point:

    • The student has left the institution
    • Multiple external factors have influenced outcomes
    • The opportunity for intervention has passed

    This is equivalent to evaluating a learning process only after the exam, without ever assessing progress during the course.

    If universities are serious about employability, measurement must shift upstream.

    We need to ask:

    • What capabilities are students developing during their studies?
    • How are these capabilities evolving over time?
    • Where are the gaps—and how can they be addressed early?

    Without this, employability becomes a retrospective exercise rather than a developmental one.

    The Behavioural Consequences of Bad Metrics

    Metrics do not just measure behaviour—they shape it.

    When universities are judged primarily on graduate outcomes, they respond rationally:

    • Focusing resources on final-year students
    • Prioritising “quick wins” in employment outcomes
    • Targeting students who are easiest to place
    • Investing in reporting systems rather than developmental systems

    This creates a skewed distribution of support, where those who need the most help often receive the least.

    It also encourages surface-level interventions:

    • CV workshops without real experience
    • Mock interviews without industry context
    • Job boards without network development

    These activities are not inherently bad—but they are insufficient on their own. They treat employability as a set of discrete tasks rather than a deeply embedded process.

    The Employability Illusion

    Many universities can point to impressive employability statistics. High employment rates. Strong salary outcomes. Positive graduate surveys.

    But these metrics often mask underlying issues:

    • Students lacking confidence in real-world environments
    • Graduates struggling to progress beyond entry-level roles
    • Limited entrepreneurial capability
    • Weak industry integration within curricula

    This creates what might be called the employability illusion: the appearance of success without the underlying substance.

    The danger is that institutions begin to believe their own metrics—while students experience a very different reality.

    Reframing Employability: A Systems Perspective

    To fix this problem, we need to move from an outcome-based model to a systems-based model.

    Employability should be understood as the interaction of multiple systems:

    1. Curriculum systems – how learning is designed and delivered
    2. Experience systems – access to placements, projects, and real-world exposure
    3. Support systems – careers services, mentoring, coaching
    4. Network systems – employer engagement, alumni connections
    5. Student systems – motivation, agency, identity

    Measurement must reflect this complexity.

    Instead of asking, “Did the student get a job?” we should be asking:

    • What capabilities has the student developed?
    • What experiences have they accumulated?
    • What networks have they built?
    • How confident are they in navigating uncertainty?

    These are harder questions—but they are the right ones.

    A Better Model: Measuring Development, Not Just Outcomes

    A more effective employability measurement framework would include three layers:

    1. Input Measures (What Universities Provide)

    • Integration of employability into curriculum
    • Access to industry projects and placements
    • Quality of employer engagement
    • Availability of mentoring and coaching

    2. Process Measures (What Students Do)

    • Participation in work-based learning
    • Engagement with careers services
    • Development of portfolios and projects
    • Network-building activities

    3. Capability Measures (What Students Become)

    • Problem-solving ability
    • Communication and collaboration
    • Adaptability and resilience
    • Entrepreneurial thinking

    Outcome measures (employment, salary) should still exist—but as one part of a broader system.

    This shifts the focus from what happened to how it happened.

    Embedding Employability, Not Bolting It On

    One of the most persistent challenges is that employability is often treated as an add-on rather than a core function.

    Careers services operate in parallel to academic departments. Workshops are optional. Engagement is uneven.

    This model does not work.

    Employability must be embedded into the curriculum itself:

    • Assessment linked to real-world problems
    • Industry projects integrated into modules
    • Reflection on skills and development built into learning
    • Continuous exposure to professional contexts

    This requires a fundamental shift in how universities design education.

    It also requires academic staff to see employability not as an external requirement—but as part of their core role.

    The Role of Data: From Reporting to Insight

    Universities are not short of data. The problem is how it is used.

    Most employability data is designed for reporting—to regulators, rankings, and stakeholders. It is retrospective and static.

    What is needed is developmental data:

    • Real-time insights into student engagement
    • Tracking of capability development over time
    • Identification of at-risk students early
    • Feedback loops that inform intervention

    This is where systems such as integrated dashboards, longitudinal tracking, and learning analytics become critical.

    But the purpose must be clear: not to produce better reports, but to enable better decisions.

    The Equity Dimension

    Current employability metrics also obscure issues of equity.

    Students from disadvantaged backgrounds often face structural barriers:

    • Limited access to networks
    • Financial constraints limiting unpaid opportunities
    • Lower confidence in professional environments
    • Fewer role models

    If universities are judged purely on outcomes, there is little incentive to address these deeper issues.

    A capability-based model, by contrast, allows institutions to:

    • Identify gaps early
    • Target support where it is needed most
    • Measure progress in a more nuanced way

    This is not just a measurement issue—it is a question of fairness.

    Entrepreneurship: The Missing Piece

    Another major omission in employability measurement is entrepreneurship.

    Most frameworks assume that success means entering employment. But for many students, particularly in a changing economy, value creation may take different forms:

    • Starting a business
    • Freelancing or portfolio careers
    • Creating social enterprises
    • Innovating within organisations

    Entrepreneurial capability is increasingly central to employability. It includes:

    • Opportunity recognition
    • Resource mobilisation
    • Risk management
    • Value creation

    Yet it is rarely measured explicitly.

    This reflects a deeper issue: universities are still operating with an industrial-era model of employment, while the economy is moving towards a more fluid, entrepreneurial reality.

    Towards a More Honest System

    Fixing employability measurement does not require abandoning metrics. It requires making them more honest.

    An honest system would:

    • Acknowledge the limits of outcome data
    • Measure capability development explicitly
    • Track student engagement over time
    • Reflect the diversity of career pathways
    • Prioritise long-term outcomes over short-term wins

    It would also require regulators and rankings to evolve—moving beyond simplistic indicators towards more nuanced frameworks.

    Conclusion: From Metrics to Meaning

    The current approach to employability measurement is not failing because it lacks data. It is failing because it is measuring the wrong things.

    By focusing on outcomes rather than systems, employment rather than capability, and short-term metrics rather than long-term development, universities have created a model that is easy to report—but difficult to defend.

    If we are serious about preparing students for a complex, uncertain, and rapidly changing world, we need to rethink what employability means—and how it is measured.

    This is not just a technical adjustment. It is a strategic shift.

    Because in the end, employability is not about whether a graduate gets a job.

    It is about whether they can build a career, create value, and adapt over time.

    And that is something no single metric can capture—but a well-designed system can support.

  • From Degree to Work: The Broken Transition System

    From Degree to Work: The Broken Transition System

    For decades, higher education has been sold on a simple promise: earn a degree, and better career opportunities will follow. This narrative has shaped student expectations, institutional strategies, and government policy alike. Yet, for many graduates today, the transition from university to work is anything but smooth.

    Instead of a clear pathway, graduates encounter a fragmented, uncertain, and often frustrating journey into employment. The issue is not a lack of talent, ambition, or even opportunity. The problem is systemic.

    The transition from degree to work is broken—and it requires urgent redesign.

    The Myth of the Linear Pathway

    At the core of the problem is an outdated assumption: that education leads directly to employment in a linear, step by step, predictable way.

    This model assumes:

    • Students acquire knowledge
    • They graduate
    • They enter relevant employment

    In reality, graduate pathways are far more complex. Careers are increasingly:

    • Non-linear
    • Iterative
    • Influenced by networks, experience, and timing

    Graduates often move through multiple roles, sectors, and learning experiences before finding alignment. The expectation of a seamless transition is not only unrealistic—it sets students up for disappointment.

    A Structural Disconnect Between Education and Work

    One of the most significant issues is the disconnect between what universities deliver and what employers need.

    Universities excel at:

    • Delivering theoretical knowledge
    • Developing critical thinking
    • Advancing disciplinary expertise

    Employers, however, often prioritise:

    • Practical experience
    • Workplace behaviours
    • Adaptability and problem-solving
    • Commercial awareness

    This is not a failure of universities per se. It is a failure of alignment.

    The system operates in silos:

    • Universities design curricula independently
    • Employers articulate needs inconsistently
    • Policymakers attempt to bridge the gap through metrics and incentives

    The result is a misaligned ecosystem where graduates must navigate the space between education and employment largely on their own.

    Experience as the New Currency

    Increasingly, employers are not just asking, “What degree do you have?” but “What have you done?”

    Work experience has become a critical differentiator:

    • Internships
    • Placements
    • Part-time work
    • Projects and portfolios

    Yet access to these opportunities is uneven.

    Students from more advantaged backgrounds are more likely to:

    • Secure unpaid internships
    • Leverage personal networks
    • Gain early exposure to professional environments

    Those without these advantages face structural barriers, reinforcing inequality in graduate outcomes.

    In effect, the system rewards prior access to opportunity rather than potential.

    The Hidden Curriculum

    Much of what determines success in the transition to work is not formally taught.

    Graduates must learn to:

    • Navigate recruitment processes
    • Build professional networks
    • Communicate their value
    • Understand workplace norms

    This “hidden curriculum” is often acquired informally, through:

    • Family connections
    • Social capital
    • Prior exposure to professional environments

    Students who lack this background are at a disadvantage, regardless of their academic ability.

    Universities have made efforts to address this through employability programmes, but these are often:

    • Optional
    • Peripheral to core study
    • Insufficiently embedded

    Fragmented Support Systems

    Support for the transition from degree to work is often fragmented across institutions.

    Students may encounter:

    • Careers services
    • Academic advisors
    • External programmes
    • Employer initiatives

    However, these are rarely integrated into a coherent journey.

    Common issues include:

    • Late engagement (often in final year)
    • Lack of personalisation
    • Limited continuity

    As a result, students are expected to piece together their own pathway, often without the guidance or confidence to do so effectively.

    The Role of Metrics and Incentives

    Ironically, efforts to improve graduate outcomes have sometimes exacerbated the problem.

    Metrics that focus on short-term employment outcomes encourage universities to:

    • Prioritise immediate job placement
    • Focus on measurable outputs
    • Treat employability as a compliance issue

    This can lead to:

    • Superficial interventions
    • Reduced emphasis on long-term capability development
    • A narrow definition of success

    Instead of transforming the system, metrics often reinforce its limitations.

    Regional Inequality and Labour Market Realities

    The transition from degree to work is also shaped by geography.

    Graduates in regions with:

    • Strong labour markets
    • Diverse industries
    • High levels of investment

    have greater opportunities.

    Those in less economically dynamic areas face:

    • Fewer graduate-level roles
    • Lower wages
    • Limited career progression

    Universities cannot control regional economies, yet they are often judged as if they can.

    This creates a structural imbalance that disproportionately affects certain institutions and student groups.

    The Rise of Alternative Pathways

    At the same time, the nature of work itself is changing.

    Traditional career pathways are being complemented—or replaced—by:

    • Freelancing and gig work
    • Entrepreneurship
    • Portfolio careers
    • Remote and global opportunities

    These pathways offer flexibility and innovation but are poorly reflected in traditional transition systems.

    Graduates pursuing these routes may appear “unsuccessful” in conventional metrics, even when they are building viable and meaningful careers.

    Towards a Redesigned Transition System

    If the current system is broken, what would a better model look like?

    A redesigned transition system must move beyond the idea of a single handover point between education and employment. Instead, it should be understood as a continuous, integrated process.

    1. Early and Embedded Employability

    Employability should not be an add-on—it should be embedded from day one.

    This includes:

    • Real-world projects within courses
    • Industry engagement in curriculum design
    • Continuous reflection on skills and development

    2. Experience for All

    Access to meaningful experience must be universal, not selective.

    This could involve:

    • Guaranteed placements or project-based learning
    • Partnerships with employers
    • Simulation-based learning environments

    3. Integrated Support Systems

    Universities need to create coherent, personalised support journeys.

    This means:

    • Aligning academic, careers, and external support
    • Providing consistent guidance over time
    • Using data to tailor interventions

    4. Recognition of Diverse Pathways

    The system must recognise that success takes many forms.

    This requires:

    • Valuing entrepreneurship and self-employment
    • Supporting alternative career models
    • Expanding definitions of graduate success

    5. Stronger Ecosystem Collaboration

    The transition from degree to work cannot be solved by universities alone.

    It requires collaboration between:

    • Universities
    • Employers
    • Policymakers
    • Regional stakeholders

    This is fundamentally an ecosystem challenge.

    Reframing the Transition

    Perhaps the most important shift is conceptual.

    The transition from degree to work should not be seen as:

    • A single moment
    • A final outcome

    But as:

    • A developmental journey
    • A process of exploration and growth

    Graduates are not products moving through a pipeline. They are individuals navigating complex, evolving careers.

    Conclusion

    The promise of higher education remains powerful, but the pathway from degree to work no longer reflects the realities of the modern world.

    The system is not failing because graduates are unprepared or institutions are ineffective. It is failing because it is built on outdated assumptions, fragmented structures, and narrow definitions of success.

    Fixing this requires more than incremental change. It requires a fundamental redesign—one that recognises the complexity of careers, the diversity of pathways, and the importance of capability over short-term outcomes.

    Because the goal is not simply to help graduates get their first job.

    It is to equip them to build meaningful, sustainable careers in a world that is constantly changing.

  • Why Employability Metrics Are Failing Universities

    Why Employability Metrics Are Failing Universities

    Universities are under increasing pressure to demonstrate that their graduates secure meaningful employment. In response, governments and regulators have embedded employability metrics into performance frameworks, funding models, and league tables. In the UK, for example, graduate outcomes (B3) data has become a central feature of regulatory oversight and institutional strategy.

    On the surface, this seems entirely reasonable. Students invest significant time and money into higher education, and they expect a return in the form of improved career prospects. Policymakers, in turn, want assurance that universities are delivering value.

    Yet, despite this growing emphasis, a fundamental problem persists:

    Employability metrics, as currently designed, are failing universities—and more importantly, they are failing students.

    The Illusion of Measurement

    At the heart of the issue lies a simple but powerful question: what exactly are we measuring?

    Most employability metrics rely on narrow indicators such as:

    • Graduate employment rates
    • Salaries after 15 months
    • Job classification (e.g. “professional” roles)(Don’t ask me about Models)

    While these measures provide a snapshot, they do not capture the complexity of graduate outcomes.

    Employment is not a binary state. Nor is it a static endpoint. Careers evolve over time, often through nonlinear and unpredictable pathways. By reducing employability to short-term outcomes, metrics create an illusion of precision while obscuring the reality of graduate transitions.

    The Timing Problem

    One of the most widely used measures in the UK is based on graduate destinations approximately 15 months after completion. This timeframe is deeply problematic.

    Many graduates:

    • Pursue further study
    • Start businesses (which at 15 months is traveling through the valley of death)
    • Take interim roles while exploring career options
    • Enter industries with longer entry pathways

    For these individuals, early outcomes may appear weak, even though their long-term trajectories are strong.

    The result is a systematic distortion: universities are judged on when outcomes occur, rather than how meaningful those outcomes ultimately become.

    Penalising the Wrong Institutions

    Employability metrics often fail to account for differences in student demographics and institutional missions.

    Universities that:

    • Serve widening participation students
    • Operate in economically disadvantaged regions
    • Recruit non-traditional learners

    are frequently penalised.

    These institutions play a critical role in social mobility, yet their graduates may face structural barriers in the labour market. Lower short-term employment outcomes do not necessarily reflect poor educational quality—they often reflect inequality in opportunity.

    By ignoring context, current metrics risk reinforcing the very inequalities they are meant to address.

    The Narrow Definition of Success

    Another major limitation is the narrow definition of what constitutes “success.”

    Metrics typically prioritise:

    • Full-time employment
    • High salaries
    • Traditional career pathways (Occupation codes last changed on 4 April 2024)

    However, this excludes a wide range of valuable outcomes, including:

    • Entrepreneurship and self-employment
    • Portfolio careers
    • Social impact work
    • Creative and cultural industries

    In an economy increasingly characterised by flexibility and diversity, these pathways are not marginal—they are central.

    Yet, because they do not fit neatly into existing metrics, they are often undervalued or ignored.

    Behavioural Distortions

    Perhaps the most concerning consequence of current employability metrics is how they shape institutional behaviour.

    When universities are measured on specific indicators, they naturally optimise for those indicators.

    This can lead to:

    • Overemphasis on short-term job outcomes
    • Strategic steering of students towards “safe” careers
    • Reduced support for entrepreneurship or risk-taking
    • Gaming of data through selective reporting or classification

    In extreme cases, employability becomes less about empowering students and more about managing metrics.

    This is a classic example of Goodhart’s Law:
    When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.

    The Missing Middle: Capability Development

    One of the most significant gaps in current frameworks is the absence of capability-based measures.

    Employability is not just about outcomes; it is about:

    • Skills development
    • Confidence and agency
    • Networks and social capital
    • The ability to navigate uncertainty

    These capabilities are developed over time and are often invisible in traditional metrics.

    For example, a student who:

    • Builds strong professional networks
    • Develops entrepreneurial skills
    • Gains meaningful project experience

    may be highly employable, even if their first job is not immediately “high status.”

    By focusing only on outcomes, metrics ignore the underlying processes that drive long-term success.

    Regional and Structural Blind Spots

    Employability metrics also fail to account for regional economic conditions.

    Graduates in areas with:

    • Limited job opportunities
    • Lower average wages
    • Sectoral decline

    are inherently disadvantaged in outcome-based measures.

    Universities cannot control local labour markets, yet they are judged as if they can.

    This creates a disconnect between:

    • Institutional performance
    • Regional economic realities

    and further disadvantages institutions located outside major economic hubs.

    Data Without Insight

    Another challenge is the overreliance on quantitative data without sufficient qualitative insight.

    Large-scale surveys provide valuable information, but they often lack depth. They do not capture:

    • Graduate experiences
    • Career aspirations
    • Barriers faced
    • Non-linear pathways

    Without this context, data can be misleading.

    For example, a graduate in a “non-professional” role may be:

    • Building experience in a chosen field
    • Transitioning between careers
    • Prioritising personal circumstances

    Yet, the metric records this simply as a negative outcome.

    Towards Better Employability Measures

    If current metrics are failing, what should replace them?

    A more effective approach would involve a shift from outcomes-only measurement to a multi-dimensional framework.

    1. Longitudinal Tracking

    Instead of focusing on short-term outcomes, metrics should track graduates over time:

    • 3 years
    • 5 years
    • 10 years

    This would provide a more accurate picture of career development.

    2. Contextualisation

    Metrics must account for:

    • Student demographics
    • Regional economic conditions
    • Institutional mission

    This would create fairer comparisons and more meaningful insights.

    3. Inclusion of Diverse Pathways

    Entrepreneurship, self-employment, and portfolio careers should be fully recognised and valued.

    This requires:

    • New classification systems
    • Better data collection methods

    4. Capability-Based Indicators

    Universities should be assessed on their ability to develop:

    • Skills
    • Networks
    • Confidence
    • Career management capabilities

    These are the foundations of employability.

    5. Integration with Skills Frameworks

    Linking outcomes to frameworks such as ESCO (European Skills, Competences, Qualifications and Occupations) would enable:

    • Better alignment with labour market needs
    • More granular analysis of skills development

    Reframing the Purpose of Employability

    Ultimately, the issue is not just technical—it is philosophical.

    What is the purpose of higher education?

    If employability is reduced to:

    • Immediate job outcomes
    • Salary levels

    then universities become training providers for the labour market.

    But higher education has a broader role:

    • Developing critical thinkers
    • Enabling social mobility
    • Fostering innovation and entrepreneurship
    • Contributing to society

    Employability should be understood as the capacity to create value over a lifetime, not just secure a job in the short term.

    Conclusion

    Employability metrics were introduced with good intentions: to ensure accountability, improve outcomes, and provide transparency.

    However, in their current form, they fall short.

    They:

    • Oversimplify complex realities
    • Ignore context
    • Distort behaviour
    • Undervalue diverse pathways

    Most importantly, they fail to capture what truly matters: the long-term ability of graduates to navigate, contribute to, and shape an ever-changing world.

    If universities are to fulfil their role in society, we must move beyond narrow metrics and embrace a richer, more nuanced understanding of employability.

    Because the goal is not just to produce graduates who get jobs.

    It is to develop individuals who can build careers, create opportunities, and drive the future of our economies.